Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Just for the fun of it... Super Tuesday Predictions

Just for a bit of fun and to test the spread sheet I have built to calculate the value of polls. It has thus far been wrong on West Virginia, so you can take it with a grain of salt. I just thought it would be of interest to counter this claim in the media that McCain is going to make a Clean Sweep today and capture the nomination.

As predicted by the media and the polls... (This is how the media started the day in the projected delegate count.)

Candidate Delegate Count
John McCain 600
Mitt Romney 475
Mike Huckabee 171
Ron Paul 17


As the polls stand now... (This is the status of the projected delegate count as it stands with OFFICIAL NUMBERS replacing projected poll numbers for WV).

Candidate Delegate Count
John McCain 570
Mitt Romney 475
Mike Huckabee 201
Ron Paul 17


As I suspect it will end up... (This is the status of my projected delegate count as it stands with OFFICIAL NUMBERS replacing projected poll numbers for WV).

Candidate Delegate Count
John McCain 550
Mitt Romney 462
Mike Huckabee 240
Ron Paul 17

In any case does this appear to be a CLEAN SWEEP for McCain?

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